English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 11 |  Items with full text/Total items : 88531/118073 (75%)
Visitors : 23456773      Online Users : 127
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/62460


    Title: Diffusion of Mobile Telephony in China: Drivers and Forecasts
    Authors: 吳豐祥
    Liu, Xielin;Wu, Feng-Shang;Chu, Wen-Lin
    Contributors: 科管所
    Date: 2012-05
    Issue Date: 2013-12-13 15:03:43 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: Analyzing mobile telephony diffusion involves identifying drivers and forecasting growth using a growth model. However, to our knowledge, no framework for model selection exists. To eliminate ad hoc model selection, this study presents a novel model-comparison method based on an analysis of mobile telephony diffusion in China, which accounts for one-fifth of global mobile telephony subscriptions. Determinants of the diffusion rate are then analyzed using the most appropriate model identified by the proposed model-comparison method in terms of minimum root-mean-square error. Empirical results identify the Gompertz model as the best model for diffusion forecasting. The three most significant determinants are low-cost mobile handsets, prepaid services, and personal handy-phone system (PHS) services. All of these determinants contribute to meeting the demand in Chinas low-end market. This study combines the proposed model-comparison method with estimates of determinants of diffusion rate to improve analysis and forecasting accuracy for mobile telephony diffusion. Moreover, model comparisons using data from eight representative countries (Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Russia, the U.K., and the U.S.) provide a valuable reference for model selection for mobile telephony diffusion. © 2012 IEEE.
    Relation: IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 59(2), 299-309
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TEM.2010.2058854
    DOI: 10.1109/TEM.2010.2058854
    Appears in Collections:[科技管理與智慧財產研究所] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    299-309.pdf616KbAdobe PDF568View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback