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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/124764

    Title: 指數型保險對再生能源風險管理的應用:以離岸風力發電第26號潛力場址為例
    Application of index insurance to renewable energy risk management:a case study of offshore wind power generation potential site no. 26
    Authors: 陳怡儒
    Chen, Yi-Ju
    Contributors: 張士傑
    Chang, Shih-Chieh
    Chen, Yi-Ju
    Keywords: 再生能源
    Renewable energy
    Risk management
    Offshore wind power
    Index insurance
    Date: 2019
    Issue Date: 2019-08-07 16:17:08 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 為達成環境基本法第23條之非核家園目標,現階段政府之能源政策規劃於2025年前將再生能源發電量占比提高到總發電量的20%,並以離岸風電作為主力之一。根據國際工程顧問公司4C Offshore於2019年對於全球離岸潛力風場之排名,全球前20處離岸風場場址,位於我國管轄海域就占15處,台灣的地理位置,非常適合發展離岸風電。
    The current energy policy of Taiwan government plans to increase renewable energy to 20% of 100% total power supply by 2025 together with achieving the goal for nuclear free. According to the 2019 ranking of 4C Offshore, the top 20 global potential offshore wind farm sites are mainly located in Taiwan strait, in which, 15 sites are under Taiwan’s jurisdiction. Taiwan has great potentials to develop offshore wind power.
    This study updates status of offshore wind power development for Taiwan and some countries, and reviews risk management of offshore wind farm at three phases, and uses index insurance to analyze the selected potential offshore wind farm site No. 26. By analyzing NASA dataset from 1980 to 2017, we used ARIMA(0,0,0)X〖(0,1,1)〗_12 to calculate the forecast of offshore wind power generation and applied the forecast as reference to price for the designed index insurance. Under this proposed model, forecasted power generation is set as the index of insurance, the 25th and 50th percentile of the simulated average historical power generation for 38 years are used as the trigger point. The annual pure premium amount are NT$328,672,382 and NT$41,813,256 respectively ; pure premium rates are respectively 20.44% and 6.74%.
    Reference: 中文文獻

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    Description: 碩士
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1063580261
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU201900259
    Appears in Collections:[Department of Risk Management and Insurance] Theses

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