English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 11 |  Items with full text/Total items : 88613/118155 (75%)
Visitors : 23481524      Online Users : 134
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 企業管理學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/120173
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/120173

    Title: Box-Jenkins隨機時間序列模式與指數平滑法之比較
    Authors: 李恒祥
    Contributors: 黃俊英
    Date: 1982
    Issue Date: 2018-09-27 14:18:15 (UTC+8)
    Reference: 附錄A參考文獻
    5.張紹明著,Box-Jenkins model之個案研究――台北市雨量分析與預測(台北,淡江大學,66年碩土論文)
    1. Anderson, R.L., “Distribution of the Serial Correlation Coefficient” Ann. Math. Stat., 13,1, (1942)
    2. Armstrong, J.S. Long-Rang Forecasting, New York : John Willey & Sons, 1978.
    2. Bartlett, M.S., “On the theoretical Specification of Sampling Properties of Autocorrelation time Series”, Jour. Roy. Stat. Soc., B8 , 27(1946)
    4. Box G.E.P. and G.M. Jenkins, Time series Analysis-Forecasting and Control, New York : McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1976.
    5. G,E.P. Box and D.A. pierce, “Distribution of residual Autocorrelation in Autoregressive-Integrated-Moving Average time Series Models”, Jorn. Amer. Stat. Assoc. 64, 1509, (1970)
    6. Brown, R.G. Statistisal Forecasting for inventory Control, N.Y. : McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1957.
    7. ________ , Smoothing Forecasting and Prdiction of discrete time Series, Englewood Cliffs, N.J. Prentices- Hall, Inc., 1963.
    8. Chamber, J.C., S.R. Mullick and D.D. Smith, “How to Choose the right forecasting technique, H.B.R., July-Aug., (1971), pp.45-74.
    9. Chow, W. M., “Adaptive Control of the Exponential Smoothing Constant,” The Jour. of Indust. Engineering, Vol. 16, No.5 (1965), pp.314-317.
    10. Eilon, S. and J. Elmaleh, “ Adaptive Limits in inventory Control”, Management Science, Vol. 6, No. 8 (1970), PP. 533-538.
    11. Gardner, E.S. and D.G. Danneubring, “Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing : some Guideline for Model Selection ”, Decision Science Vol.11, No.2 (1980), pp.370-383.
    12. Geurts, M.D. and I.B. Ibrahim,Comparing the Box-Jenkins Approach with Exponentially smoothed Forecasting Model : An Application to Hawaii Tourist,” J.M.R. 12, No.2, (May, 1975) pp.182-187.
    13. Gilchrist, W. Statistical Forecasting, London : John Wiley and Sons, 1976.
    14. Groff, G.K. “Emprical Comparison, of Models for short range Forecasting,” Management Science Vol.20, No. 1, (Step, 1973) pp.22-31.
    15. Holt, C.C. Forecasting Seasonal and trends by Exponentially weighted Average, Prittsbugh, Penn : Carnigie Institude of Technalogy, 1957.
    16. Jenkins, G.M. and D.G. Watts, Spectral Analysis and its Application, San Francisco : Holdon-Day, 2968.
    17. Makridakis S. and S.C. Wheelwight, Forecasting Method and Applications, New York : John wiley & Sons, 1978.
    18.Meyer, R.F., “An Adaptive Method for Routine shortterm Forasting”, International Federation of Operation Research Societies, Oslo, (July, 1963)
    19. Mongomery, D.C., “An Application of Statistical forecasting technique in an inventory Control Policy”, Production and inventory Management (Frist Quarter, 1969) pp.66-74.
    20. ________, “Adaptive Control of Exponential Smoothing Parameter by Evolutionary Opration”, AIIE Tranactions Vol.2, No.3 (1970) pp.268-269.
    21. Newbold, p. and C.W.J. Granger “Experience with forecasting Univariate time series and the Combination of Forecast”, Joun. of Roy. state Soc. A, 173, part2 (1974), pp.131-146.
    22. Nelson, R. Chales, Applied time Series Analysis for Managerial forecasting, San Francisco: Holdeen-Day, 1970.
    23. Pyndick R.S. and D.L. Rubinfeld, Econometric Models and economic forecasts, new york : McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1976.
    24. Roberts, S.D. and R. Reed, “ The Development of self-adaptive forecasting technique”, AIIE Transacrions, Vol. 1, No.4 (1969) pp.314-322.
    25. Schuter, A. “The Investigation of hidden periodicities”, Terr. Mag, 3. 13, (1879).
    26. Thomopoulou, N.J., Applied Forecasting Method, Englewood Clisff, N.J. Prentice-Hall Inc., 1980.
    27. Trigg D.W. and A.G. Leach, “Exponential smoothing with an Adaptive response rate”, Operation research Quarterly Vol. 18, No.1 (1967)
    28. Whybark, D.C. “Comparing an Adaptive Decision model and humans”, Acadamic Management Jour. Vol.6, (1970).
    29. ________, “ An Comparison of adpative forecasting techniques.”, The Logistics and Transportation review, Vol. 9, No.1 (19730, pp.13-26.
    30. Winter, D.R., “Forecasting Sales by exponential wighted Moving average”, Management science, Vol. 6, No. 3 (1960), pp.324-342.
    Description: 碩士
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002007560
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[企業管理學系] 學位論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat

    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.

    社群 sharing

    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback